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Gambling Paper

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Analysts: House Edge Remains Undefeated For 4,000th Consecutive Year

A new report finds the oldest winning streak in history is showing no signs of regression to the mean.

By Bartholomew Push, Markets and Data Editor

1 min read

A bar chart beside a casino chip, illustrated
Placeholder artwork

The house edge extended its unbeaten run to four thousand years this week, according to an annual report that analysts described as “the easiest thing we write.”

The streak, which began with knucklebones in the ancient world and has continued through dice, cards, wheels and applications, has survived every strategy, superstition and lucky shirt deployed against it.

People keep asking when it will cool off. It is arithmetic. Arithmetic does not cool off.

Dr. Helena Voss, Institute for Probable Outcomes

Challengers that came closest

  1. Card counters, briefly, before being asked to leave
  2. A man in 1891 who was simply never seen again
  3. Everyone’s cousin, according to everyone’s cousin

The report concludes that the edge is expected to remain favourite going into next year, at odds the authors declined to offer, on principle.

Filed under

  • Data
  • House Edge
  • Analysis

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SatireGambling Paper is satire. Its stories are fiction, its quotes are invented, and any resemblance to real people or companies is parody.

Written by

Bartholomew Push

Markets and Data Editor

Bartholomew turns numbers into charts and charts into disappointment. He holds a degree in statistics, which he says has ruined gambling for him.

All stories by Bartholomew Push